China’s Falling Space Station Probably Won’t Land on Your Head

March 29, 2018 7:43 am Last Updated: March 29, 2018 7:43 am

An almost 10-ton Chinese spacecraft the size of a school bus is expected to fall from the sky over the Easter weekend, although it’s unknown whether pieces of the station will survive re-entry into earth’s atmosphere.

No one knows where it exactly it will land.

While China has claimed the station would burn when re-entering the earth’s atmopshere, some experts say 10 to 40 percent of it could reach the land or the ocean, according to the Telegraph.

“It can be surmised that Tiangong-1 will break up during its atmospheric re-entry, and that some parts will survive the process and reach the surface of Earth,” a spokesman for the European Space Agency told the newspaper.

Others have pointed out that it’s unlikely that bits from the space station will end up landing on your head.

“The odds of being hit are very small,” Marco Langbroek, a consultant with the Space Security Center of the Royal Dutch Air Force and Leiden Observatory told

Researchers from the European Space agency say the odds of being hit are about 1 in 300 trillion.

The only person known to have been hit by a piece of debris was Lottie Williams of Tulsa, Oklahoma, who was struck in the shoulder by a piece of the Delta II Rocket in January 1997.